lawshead

The Skinny

New New York Times Plan: (Digital) World Domination

Talk about a December surprise. News is being poured, or leaked, out of the New York Times Company with unexpected near-Christmas volume. Today’s news that the Times Company is finally selling its New York Times Regional Newspaper Group holdings of 14 newspapers absolutely fits with the last week’s news of CEO Janet Robinson’s abrupt departure.

The New York Times is slimming down to bulk up. It is no longer a newspaper company, with a strong national newspaper, a Boston cousin in the Globe and regional newspaper interests. It is a global news company whose future is mostly digital, and it will live or die on that adventure. It is a company that now sees 63% of its revenues (last from the third quarter) coming from the Times print and digital operations. Over the past several years, the Times — despite its many trials (selling its flagship building, participating in Carlos Slim usury, before paying back the 14% $250 million loan to the Mexican magnate) — has outperformed financially both the regional group and the Globe .

That only makes sense. Borrowing lessons from Google, Microsoft, Yahoo and many others, the global Times is about scale. You can pay a Times reporter to write a story that can reach some of the Times ‘ 50 million global monthly unique visitors, three-fifths of them in the U.S. Or you can pay a Gainesville or Tuscaloosa reporter a little less to write a story that can reach a hundreth of that total. Do the math, and the future bet is on the company with the big global news brand and the reach.

The regional news companies, important as they are to their communities, have been but a business distraction. The Times has tried to sell them before, pulling back as market conditions forced it to do. Now Halifax Media Group seems set to complete its deal, which we’d have to believe is in final form given its inclusion of the NYTRNG papers on its website (courtesy of Romenesko), now taken down. Halifax is part of new generation of newspaper property buyers, believing they can make a go of these distressed properties, through more consolidation of jobs and other efficiencies. (“Now at Fire Sale Prices, a Few Newspapers…and Maybe More,” Newsonomics, Dec. 2, 2011)

For the Times now, and going forward, the competition is CNN, the BBC, News Corp, ABC, NBC, the Guardian, Bloomberg, Reuters and several others. Who indeed will be among the most trusted names in the (digital) news business?

The spasms of change at the Times come ironically after one of the most relatively successful years for the company. Yes, profits are still tough to come by — a measly $33 million in the last quarter — but the company pulled off a digital pay scheme that has established a modest beachhead. It begins to provide the Times a second digital revenue stream, in addition to advertising. Circulation revenues grew 3.4% for the last period, as the Times’ new digital All-Access push circulation had netted 324,000 “digital” subscribers of one kind or another and enabled the first Sunday home delivery print increase since 2006. It has positioned itself well with apps for emerging tablet and smartphone platforms, moving quickly into the Apple Newsstand, for instance. It is aiming for ubiquity and is in the lead of the newspaper pack, with the Journal nipping and biting along the way.

Yet, ominously, print advertising revenues decreased 10.4 percent and digital advertising revenues decreased 4.5 percent in the last quarter. 2012 looks like another down year, in high single digits. In fact, there’s an array of numbers that offer a quite uneven path to success next year, as I described in the Newsonomics of 2012′s Magic Formula, last week.

Consequently, the company is barely keeping even, and will likely have to accelerate cuts next year to stay profitable. So the plow must be sped. With less than a quarter of its revenues now driven by digital, the Times has to move quicker. It may balance (smartly as its done with its Sunday print/digital pricing) package print and digital, but it is has to grab mind share and market share in all the emerging digital spaces, tablet, smartphone, connected TV and web.

Expect the new CEO, most likely from the outside to be focused on three A’s: audience, advertising and analytics. Arrange those three in a virtuous circle, and you have an efficient spinning of the new digital economy. That’s clearly what Time Inc has in mind as it hired Laura Lang from the ad world.

The new CEO must also drive a faster kind of decision-making at the Times Company, a company now seeing both CEO Robinson and digital head Martin Nisenholtz leaving at the same time, the latter by retirement. Famously balkanized, with numerous power centers, the company has been both innovative and plodding. That’s an odd combo, but one fitting its prudent-above-all news culture. With one distraction removed (and now we wonder about the Boston Globe, its own pay scheme innovation underway, and how long it will remain a Times Company property), the new CEO aces a tough terrain. Given that the company, even post NYTRNG sale, is 90%+ newspaper-based, it suffers in its ability to grow. News Corp, CNN, Reuters and Bloomberg all are part of large, diversified companies that can buffer them from the permanent print ad downturn. As Janet Robinson found, the path forward is an extremely narrow one.



The Quote

Filmmaker Peter Weir, talking about his career and his newly released “The Way Back,” a tale of  survival.

“Really as a filmmaker you spend all your life working on simplification. That’s what you aim for if you’re lucky enough to have a long career.”

Well-said, and applies to those crafting the future of news as well.

The Quote

Bay Citizen’s Jonathan Weber explains the ins and outs of working as a New York Times bureau, nailing some of the difficulties of marrying old and new journalism as the Times reaches beyond its old comfort zone.

Read more »

The Quote

“The question is whether people will trade freedom for convenience. I think they will. They have before.”

Read more »

4 Questions for the Blog Matchmaker

World-class blog expert John Wilpers shares the tips of his trade, including: “I consider myself a blog matchmaker: I match the needs of information companies (newspapers, magazines, online-only news sites) for ever broader, more relevant, and deeper content with the needs of bloggers for exposure, broader platforms, enhanced credibility, and increased revenue opportunities. There are blog wranglers out there cramming websites full of blogs without regard for the benefit of the company or the blogger, creating blogger ghettos distinguished only by the fact that the content is created by non-staffers”.

Read more »

13 Tips for Using Twitter in the Enterprise

Barry Graubart is a guru of smart, company use of social tools, in addition to serving as Vice President, Product Strategy & Business Development at Alacra. He recently participated in an SIIA seminar I led around Law #1: “We’re Becoming Our Own and Each Other’s Editors.”

His thinking impressed the breakfast group and he followed up with 13 suggestions, which we’re sharing more broadly.

Read more »



Content Bridges

"At some point, though, you see this message (on one medium or another), “Kinograph to cease production of silent films."

Nine Questions for the Cusp of 2012: NewsRight, Erin Burnett’s Screens, Gail Collins’s Emergence & Smart Cookie Arianna

Getting All-Access right — pricing, real tablet- and smartphone-appropriate apps, customer ease, giving subscribers cross-title benefits — is one of the biggest tasks for news and magazine publishers this year.

Read more »

Billionaire Bingo, MP11 Remover & The Missing Paper Finder: Little-Known 2011 News Tech Inventions

The Infinity Stopper: The Internet has just gotten too big for its britches. It is spilling over into our bedrooms, through tablets and smartphones. It assaults us in elevators. It even threatens the passivity of our living-room TV experience, a particular hazard to our culture as Americans lead the world (save Serbia and Macedonia) in couch potatohood. The Infinity Stopper, though, handily offers to put a plug in some of that content, boundaries you know that any media psychologist will tell you are the must-have for 2012. Somehow, The Economist (“Yet Another Reason the Economist is Trouncing Competitors“) got one of the beta Infinity Stoppers and has been going to town with it, extending its limited print franchise into a limited (and quite successful) digital franchise. The simple secret of the Infinity Stopper: a beginning, a middle — and ta-da — an end to the stream of content. As infinity-loving tablet aggregator products now prolliferate (Google Currents and Yahoo Livestand joining Flipboard, Pulse and Zite), both The Daily and AOL’s Editions test out their own versions of the Infinity Stopper, offering a daily snapshot for infinity sufferers. Expect the sale of Infinity Stoppers to mushroom, as publishers just say “no.”

Read more »

New New York Times Plan: (Digital) World Domination

Today’s news that the Times Company is finally selling its New York Times Regional Newspaper Group holdings of 14 newspapers absolutely fits with the last week’s news of CEO Janet Robinson’s abrupt departure. Expect the new CEO, most likely from the outside to be focused on three A’s: audience, advertising and analytics. Arrange those three in a virtuous circle, and you have an efficient spinning of the new digital economy. That’s clearly what Time Inc has in mind as it hired Laura Lang from the ad world. The new CEO must also drive a faster kind of decision-making at the Times Company,

Read more »

Now at (Fire) Sale Prices: A Few Daily Newspapers…and Maybe More

The deep freeze in the U.S. newspaper market thawed a bit over the last couple of weeks. There really hasn’t been much of a market for metro newspapers for almost half a decade. With advertising revenue down now 21 quarters in a row, it’s near-impossible to fix a value on newspaper properties. For valuation, we’d need some high likelihood of stable profitability for the next several years, and that’s not in the cards. So what do we make of the three recently announced sales? In each case, there’s a strong, willful buyer, bucking conventional business sense to bull ahead into 2012.

Read more »

Newsonomics of...

The Newsonomics of the Long Goodbye: Kodak’s, Sears’, and Newspapers’

What stands out most prominently is that U.S. newspapers’ ad revenue decline is worse, percentage wise, than either Kodak’s or Sears’. Yes, although Kodak and Sears are now poster children of legacy businesses gone wrong, newspapers — as counted through their main revenue source — are doing worse.

Read more »

The Newsonomics of the News Dial ‘O Matic

Today, in 2012, those questions are more pressing in our age of news deluge. We’re confronted at every turn, at every finger gesture, with more to read or view or listen to. It’s not just the web: It’s also the smartphone and especially the tablet, birthing new aggregator products — Google Currents and Yahoo Livestand have joined Flipboard, Pulse, Zite, and AOL Editions — every month. Compare for a moment the “top stories” you get on each side-by-side, and you’ll be amazed. How did they get there? Why are they so different?

Was it some checkbox I checked (or didn’t?!) at sign-in? Using Facebook to sign in seemed so easy, but how is that affecting what I get? Are all those Twitterees I followed determining my story selection? (Or maybe that’s why I’m getting so many Chinese and German stories?) Did I tell the Times to give the sports section such low priority? The questions are endless, a ball of twine we’ve spun in declaring some preferences in our profiles over the years, wound ever wider by the intended or (or un-) social curation of Facebook and Twitter, and multiplied by the unseen but all-knowing algorithms that think they know what we really want to read, more than we do. (What if they are right? Hold that thought.)

Read more »

The Newsonomics of 2012′s Magic Formula

We can point to three major phenomena that profoundly changed the news landscape this year. Each offers up its own half-formed metrics for that magic formula in process, and each has dramatically changed the possibilities of news, each largely positive:

1) The transcendant transformative age of the tablet
2) The dawn of digital circulation
3) Social curation joins editorial curation:

Read more »

The Newsonomics of Google’s Retail Push

There’s an irony to such publisher partnerships, of course. On the one hand, Google is a “partner,” magnifying publisher businesses through its ad and search products. On the other, initiatives such as Google Tomorrow are a potential dagger to newspapers’ jugular. That’s the way of the web world. For Google, or Amazon, or Apple, or Facebook, any new initiative it takes on has its own internal logic. Should another industry — say newspapers — be wounded in the process, it’s just collateral damage. Given the size of these digital behemoths, as they decimate legacy industries, you can almost hear them say, “Sorry, did I sideswipe you? I didn’t feel anything.”

Read more »

Touts

Cookieing the Cookiers — and Pulitzer Bait

We like to divide up our online world into good guys and bad guys. Mozilla, clearly one of the good ones, right? It’s non-profit, the anti-Microsoft, groovy and granolaesque still, though it’s grown to a 23% market share in browsers.

“Hiding Digital Footprints,” by the Wall Street Journal’s Sarah Angwin and Spencer Ante lays out how Mozilla inserted anti-tracking cookie killers into its latest browser, and then removed them. Mike Shaver, vice president of engineering at Mozilla, had plausible explanations for the moves, but the point of this web on web journalism is that we’re getting to see inside the cookie war, in-depth.

The reporting is part of the “What They Know” series done by Angwin, Emily Steel, Jennifer Valentino-Devries, Jessica Vascellaro, Steve Stecklow, Tom McGinty and others. It’s a must-read primer for anyone in the digital business — and Pulitzer bait for explanatory reporting — exploring the swift-moving world of digital tracking, and its implications.

Source

Debunking “Consumer Spending” Myth

Kudos to Bob Moon of Marketplace for challenging conventional wisdom, succintly.

How many times have you heard that a real recovery is up to us consumers, who now make up "70% of the economy." Forget the old manufacturing/industrial complex, focus on the consumers, whose wallets are semi-sealed, we've been told for last two years.

In a report this week, Moon talks with Standard and Poor's David Wyss, who tells us that really the 70% is more like 40% because of statistical gymnastics, and that of that 40%, only 70% of it really counts because 30% of what we spend is on exports, which of course don't produce much in the way of American jobs. So we're down to a real impact to 19.6%. How does "the economy" magically get moving again? Damned if anyone really knows, at this points, but, clearly, consumer spending isn't what we really thought it to be as a driver.

Source

Harlan Ellison: Pay the Writer

Writer Harlan Ellison's impassioned, profanity-laced tirade against those who expect writers to work for free is making new rounds via the viralness of .... the free web, of course. We can have good abstract talks about content factories, content mills and the Pro-Am world. Ellison's rant is a perfect 3-minute tonic: plain-speaking in an age of analytic excess.

On YouTube, the 2007 video has now gotten almost 400,000 views.

Source

Does the Newspaper Industry Need a Strategy?

That’s the key question Poynter news analyst Rick Edmonds asks in his Thursday column, “Are Newspapers Sticking to a Premium Strategy Amid Digital Disruption?”

Citing a McKinsey study on how industries deal with the advent of “low-cost rivals,” Rick lays out good arguments for how the industry approaches are too little, too late, too limited. He’s right. In mid-2010, there isn’t a cohesive industry strategy. In fact, lower-cost entrants — AOL, Yahoo/Associated Content, Demand +++ — aren’t just pests; they’re changing the economics of producing content. That’s not a small issue. It may well lead the next wave of disruption.

Source

If “Weekly” is So Yesterday, How Do We Explain These Round-Ups

Newsweek has been mercilessly and endlessly dissected, for it seems, years now. Time and U.S. News and World Report, its peers in the once-robust, now obsolescent, newsweekly trade, have undergone reinvention upon reinvention. The conventional wisdom (to borrow an old phrase iconized by Newsweek): weekly reading bio-rhythms are dead; it’s a 24/7 news world and let’s get on with it.

One problem: the human brain. While we can all churn out the content 24/7, our brains’ evolution progress seems to be, at the minimum, multi-generational. Yes, we can multi-task at better speeds, but the toll – eulogized by Nick Carr and others — is unknown. We still like sum-ups and intelligent pointers.

So against that backdrop, let’s point out two recent additions to the web that help us followers of the news industry make sense of the new news. Irony: they are both weekly; helping us catch up on what seems to be a duration of time that still makes some atavistic sense to us.

Mark Coddington at the Nieman Journalism Lab does an admirable job with his aptly named “This Week in Review.” And Matt Creamer’s “Best Media Writing of the Week” on AdAge does the same. Note the catchy names of both, and that both are packages of well- and thoughtfully recommended links.

Sid Harman, dial home.

Source

Source

Rubel: The End of the Web as We Know It

Marketing master Steve Rubel points to Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that mobile info consumption will surpass PC-based consumption by 2015 and draws a few conclusions that all publishers should take to heart. Number one, in my estimation: the need for collaboration, between and among brands and with technology providers and distribution companies.

The mobile revolution is transformative, not a niche of what is mainstream today. As Mashable points out, “The mobile wealth creation/destruction cycle is in its earliest stages”.

Source